Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 4.668633 5.038231 5.438111 5.905581 6.440540 7.037861 7.761302
2025-08-03 4.102640 4.609499 5.195698 5.934203 6.855373 7.988957 9.527382
2025-08-10 3.726509 4.292208 4.974517 5.877511 7.073123 8.653364 10.999570
2025-08-17 3.399090 3.981977 4.705744 5.697843 7.070641 8.987834 12.050942
2025-08-24 3.170694 3.767241 4.526332 5.598851 7.142112 9.409347 13.297697
2025-08-31 3.046725 3.671513 4.486483 5.674585 7.456678 10.224942 15.379188
2025-09-07 2.914975 3.552974 4.402104 5.672567 7.646750 10.867835 17.341241
2025-09-14 2.734275 3.356018 4.193839 5.467888 7.492726 10.904444 18.128463
2025-09-21 2.597312 3.210119 4.046226 5.338748 7.441095 11.105269 19.318524
2025-09-28 2.491387 3.100655 3.942383 5.265536 7.469833 11.451520 20.953471
2025-10-05 2.426348 3.044121 3.910129 5.298604 7.679225 12.173351 23.804127
2025-10-12 2.382694 3.014828 3.914773 5.388650 7.996749 13.172393 27.937263
2025-10-19 2.346976 2.999138 3.944594 5.532742 8.453426 14.627691 34.749860
2025-10-26 2.282746 2.939316 3.904627 5.558760 8.696546 15.689671 41.413993
2025-11-02 2.206140 2.857081 3.824412 5.507663 8.779326 16.389664 47.507414
2025-11-09 2.110624 2.742406 3.687055 5.345527 8.615370 16.419291 50.547068
2025-11-16 2.037884 2.658874 3.594605 5.256065 8.592287 16.826352 56.330482
2025-11-23 2.003788 2.631982 3.590578 5.324516 8.914375 18.301312 71.908392
2025-11-30 1.957580 2.584460 3.550325 5.322693 9.081609 19.384736 88.351124
2025-12-07 1.877943 2.482679 3.416818 5.137566 8.810827 19.010651 90.561147
2025-12-14 1.815962 2.406301 3.322214 5.020557 8.686987 19.101412 98.688372
2025-12-21 1.767208 2.348827 3.256439 4.954151 8.674636 19.573220 113.923785
2025-12-28 1.739215 2.322678 3.241495 4.984151 8.896392 20.954681 152.572367